Tesla (TSLA) stock analysis
A reader-first page for understanding whether Tesla currently looks stronger, weaker, or more fragile than the headline move alone suggests.
Current read: Hold in a neutral regime.
Updated 2026-03-25T18:25:45.546Z Β· Benchmark: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) Β· Secondary reference: SPY
Monitor inputs are available and within freshness threshold.
Why this page exists: it turns signal output into something readable β what changed, how the stock is behaving versus peers and benchmarks, and where supply-chain exposure may confirm or weaken the move.
Archive: Mag7 weekly archive
Continue your read without context loss
After TSLA, jump to the live board, the latest note, and a few comparison names to avoid single-ticker tunnel vision.
Reader navigation deck: use the hub for the broad setup, the archive for proof over time, and peer pages when you want a sharper relative-strength read.
Start here in 30 seconds
- Open the live hub for the current cross-Mag7 setup.
- Open one peer page if you want a stronger relative-strength check.
- Use the archive only after that, to verify continuation versus reversal.
Fast compare path: open peers that sharpen the current read, not just adjacent names β NVDA, MSFT, AMZN
TSLA
Tesla
EV OEM
Regime
Neutral
Signal
Hold
Investment read
Trend is balanced. Wait-and-see setup. Use the windows below to judge whether leadership looks broadening or fading.
1W
vs Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY)-1.56%
vs supplier basket+0.86%
1M
vs Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY)-0.26%
vs supplier basket-6.95%
3M
vs Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY)-11.29%
vs supplier basket-43.42%
| Window | vs Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) | vs supplier basket |
|---|---|---|
| 1W | -1.56% | +0.86% |
| 1M | -0.26% | -6.95% |
| 3M | -11.29% | -43.42% |
Comparable performance
Normalized index view
All lines rebased to 100 at window start for direct relative comparison.
TSLA94.72
Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY)94.98
Supply-chain basket101.66
Position vs Mag7 peers
TSLA currently ranks #4 of 7 on the 1W normalized strength score (-0.18). This helps avoid single-name tunnel vision.
Stronger setups right now
Weaker setups right now
At a glance
- Signal: Hold β a compact summary of the current setup.
- Regime: Neutral β the broader tone behind the signal.
- How to use it: read this as an analyst shortcut, then compare it with the chart, recent news flow, and the archive before making decisions.
What to watch next
- Mixed relative trend; monitor confirmation from basket components
- Deterministic rules: 1W/1M/3M spreads vs XLY are -1.56% / -0.26% / -11.29%; current z-score -0.18.
- Largest basket weight is Albemarle at 30.0% β monitor whether it confirms or diverges from TSLA's next leg.
- Coverage quality check: 1W supplier contribution coverage is 100%, while 3M coverage is 100%. Large gaps can distort conviction.
Where to go next
TSLA in the weekly archive
Use this to connect the live setup with prior published calls on the same ticker, so you can quickly check continuity versus reversal.
Latest TSLA archive mention: 2026-03-03
Mag7 weekly update: risk cooled post-Feb vol
2026-03-03
Mag7 weekly update: risk cooled post-Feb vol
Most names moved back toward neutral signal language after late-Feb shocks; NVDA and TSLA remained highest-volatility watch items.
2026-01-20
Mag7 weekly update: post-holiday trend check
The monitor tracked whether post-holiday momentum was sustainable, with focus on supplier basket consistency across horizons.
Supply-chain basket
This basket is the supporting cast behind the stock. It helps show whether momentum is spreading through the ecosystem or staying isolated in the headline name.
TSLA battery + auto supplier basket Β· Weighting method: Cost exposure proxy (deterministic fixed weights)
Albemarle Lithium 30.0%
1W contribution +3.06%
1M contribution -0.65%
3M contribution +7.72%
Ticker: ALB
Panasonic Battery partner proxy 26.0%
1W contribution -0.95%
1M contribution +1.02%
3M contribution +7.06%
Ticker: PCRFY
NXP Semiconductors Auto semis 24.0%
1W contribution +0.79%
1M contribution -3.64%
3M contribution -3.13%
Ticker: NXPI
Lear Seats/interiors 20.0%
1W contribution +1.04%
1M contribution -1.77%
3M contribution +0.74%
Ticker: LEA
| Supplier | Role | Weight | 1W contrib | 1M contrib | 3M contrib |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle (ALB) | Lithium | 30.0% | +3.06% | -0.65% | +7.72% |
| Panasonic (PCRFY) | Battery partner proxy | 26.0% | -0.95% | +1.02% | +7.06% |
| NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) | Auto semis | 24.0% | +0.79% | -3.64% | -3.13% |
| Lear (LEA) | Seats/interiors | 20.0% | +1.04% | -1.77% | +0.74% |
Quick FAQ
- What is this ticker page for? It is a quick company-level read: signal direction, relative performance context, and where supplier sensitivity looks strongest.
- How should I read N/A contribution values? N/A means an input is missing or excluded for that horizon. Treat it as incomplete coverage, not as zero impact.
- How should I use 1W vs 1M vs 3M contributions? Use 1W for short-term pressure, 1M for trend confirmation, and 3M for broader direction. Divergence across horizons often matters more than any single number.
- Can this replace your own due diligence? No. Use it as an analysis shortcut, then validate key assumptions against primary filings, earnings commentary, and live price action.